Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 5.139341 5.578368 6.066337 6.655020 7.354533 8.170716 9.213192
2025-01-26 4.690346 5.306271 6.047190 7.028946 8.338162 10.096511 12.789596
2025-02-02 4.499948 5.282810 6.296171 7.771301 10.005621 13.584676 20.784985
2025-02-09 4.216505 5.086451 6.276910 8.147467 11.322171 17.416249 34.957827
2025-02-16 3.955241 4.873889 6.188377 8.392436 12.548440 22.227455 70.133927
2025-02-23 3.695594 4.625021 5.999767 8.424307 13.417678 27.444435 203.407524
2025-03-02 3.404401 4.296372 5.639871 8.077866 13.370028 30.234043 1240.225451
2025-03-09 3.212502 4.093892 5.450120 7.997431 13.906683 36.432452 NaN
2025-03-16 2.990696 3.826937 5.125440 7.601038 13.518275 38.188855 NaN
2025-03-23 2.882432 3.723353 5.056858 7.690341 14.464125 50.755248 NaN
2025-03-30 2.760725 3.588825 4.920862 7.616628 14.931848 63.787072 NaN
2025-04-06 2.630186 3.431463 4.730898 7.398286 14.872480 73.063846 NaN
2025-04-13 2.472777 3.233638 4.474091 7.044253 14.402583 78.640036 NaN
2025-04-20 2.434344 3.223623 4.548011 7.438171 16.829788 249.982253 NaN
2025-04-27 2.442433 3.289680 4.768823 8.248137 22.173171 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.397955 3.264601 4.816722 8.657655 26.749268 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.341498 3.214496 4.809805 8.924912 31.461944 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.268945 3.131260 4.727264 8.956751 34.777576 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.167860 2.992326 4.518990 8.568746 33.396086 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 2.098968 2.906453 4.413343 8.478168 35.277390 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 2.007178 2.775882 4.206017 8.038343 32.576621 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.964439 2.730052 4.171603 8.136701 36.747656 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.911001 2.662399 4.085902 8.054944 38.680305 NaN NaN